大坝安全风险评估初探

根据风险理论在其它领域的应用实践，以及大坝安全风险管理在国外的应用经验，将大坝安全风险评估的原理、实施步骤等进行了阐述，探讨了大坝风险因素、失事树分析法及事件概率计算方法等诸多关键问题，并通过算例对文中所探讨的问题进行了较为明确的应用与说明。     

土壤风蚀影响因子分布规律研究的最大熵方法

土壤风蚀是一个综合的自然地理过程,包括气候、植被、土壤、地形地貌等多种因子。作为随机变量的风蚀因子,其分布规律直接或间接地影响着风沙的运动规律,一方面导致土壤风蚀程度及方向的变化,另一方面变量之间的非线性相互作用的结果导致风沙流的混沌特性。为此把影响风沙运动规律的各因子作为研究对象,应用最大熵原理与遗传算法相结合的方法,建立了风蚀影响因子概率密度函数模型,采用Matlab语言编制了相应的计算程序,并以阴山北部农牧交错带为例对所建模型的合理性和可行性进行了验证。结果表明,风蚀影响因子的熵概率密度函数不仅合理可行而且具有较高的精度。     

降低旬阳县核桃结果大小年发生机率的措施

本文阐述了旬阳核桃大小年发生的主要原因,同时结合生产实际提出了如何降低核桃大小年发生机率的措施。     

秦岭林区雷击火的发生和预防

结合实践,分析了秦岭林区雷击火发生、蔓延的条件和趋势,提出了预防和扑救的技术与方法.     

参数可变自适应遗传算法在军事地形图矢量化中的应用

针对纸制军事地图矢量化问题进行研究，提出一种基于自适应遗传算法的军事地形图矢量化方法，并在生成新的个体后，增加个体修正操作，提高个体的适应度。在该算法中，提出一种即考虑进化代数对算法的影响，又考虑到每代不同个体适应度作用的自适应交叉概率和变异概率。通过与传统方法的实验比较，证明该方法的可用性和有效性。     

探析住宅电气防雷接地技术

防雷接地技术是保证住宅建筑用电安全的重要技术。现代住宅建筑设计中除了防直击雷还需防感应雷,并应与接地、等电位联接紧密结合形成一个完整的体系才能使住宅建筑得到有效的保护。该文阐述了防雷接地在住宅建筑工程中的主要作用及技术措施。     

学校防雷安全措施的探讨

学校人群聚集,是开展防雷安全工作的重点地,主要进行直击雷和感应雷的防护,在做好雷电灾害天气的预测预警工作的同时,加大学校防雷工作宣传力度,增强学校部门防雷意识,完善学校防雷设施建设,大力开展学校师生防雷知识宣传教育,并定期进行防雷工程验收和检测。     

Canine model of ischemic stroke with permanent middle cerebral artery occlusion: clinical and histopathological findings

The aim of the present study was to assess the clinical and histopathological findings in a canine model of ischemic stroke. Cerebral ischemic stroke was induced by middle cerebral artery occlusion in four healthy beagle dogs using silicone plugs. They showed neurological signs of forebrain dysfunction such as reduced responsiveness, head turning, circling, postural reaction deficits, perceptual deficits, and hemianopsia. These signs gradually regressed within 4 weeks without therapy. On magnetic resonance imaging, T2 hyperintensity and T1 hypointensity were found in the cerebral cortex and basal ganglia. These lesions were well-defined and sharply demarcated from adjacent brain parenchyma with a homogenous appearance. No abnormalities of the cerebrospinal fluid were observed. At necropsy, atrophic and necrotic lesions were observed in the cerebral cortex. The cerebral cortex, basal ganglia, and thalamus were partially unstained with triphenyl-tetrazolium chloride. Histopathologically, typical features of infarction were identified in cortical and thalamic lesions. This study demonstrates that our canine model resembles the conditions of real stroke patients.     

Prediction of multinomial probability of land use change using a bisection decomposition and logistic regression

Land use change is an important research area in landscape ecology and urban development. Prediction of land use change (urban development) provides critical information for making the right policies and management plans in order to maintain and improve ecosystem and city functions. Logistic regression is a widely used method to predict binomial probabilities of land use change when just two responses (change and no-change) are considered. However, in practice, more than two types of change are encountered and multinomial probabilities are therefore needed. The existing methods for predicting multinomial probabilities have limits in building multinomial probability models and are often based on improper assumptions. This is due to the lack of proper methodology and inadequate software. In this study, a procedure has been developed for building models to predict the multinomial probabilities of land use change and urban development. The foundation of this procedure consists of a special bisection decomposition system for the decomposition of multiple-class systems to bi-class systems, conditional probability inference, and logistic regression for binomial probability models. A case study of urban development has been conducted to evaluate this procedure. The evaluation results demonstrated that different samples and bisection decomposition systems led to very similar quality and performance in the developed multinomial probability models, which indicates the high stability of the proposed procedure for this case study.     

Lightning,precipitation and vegetation at landscape scale

Landscape Ecology - We investigated the question “Is there a relationship between seasonality in precipitation and vegetative cover in Pole Canyon, NM?” GIS and statistical methods were...